A warm September is expected to propel soybean farmers to a record crop, and corn predictions are not far behind 2007 records.

Baked In: Creating Products and Businesses That Market Themselves (Hardcover)By Alex Bogusky Buy new: $15.087 used and new from $13.82 customer rating: First tagged "business" by Edward Boches "Edward" Customer tags: marketing(6), creativity(5), advertising(5), innovation(4), crispin(3), product development(3), design(2), ideas(2), baked in, bogusky, brett macfarlane, business

This paper examines the forecasting ability of the dividend-price ratio for international stock market returns. Hitherto, existing research has only considered this issue in sample and in a linear framework. Hence, this paper provides the first systematic study of non-linear forecasting within the present value model context. Using an asymmetric variant of the popular exponential smooth-transition (ESTR) model we demonstrate the superior forecasting ability for the G7 markets over both a linear and symmetric ESTR model on the basis of a variety of forecast performance tests. In particular, the asymmetric-ESTR model provides improved mean forecast error metrics that are largely significant on the basis of forecast equality tests. Furthermore, in a trading rule exercise this models provides superior trading returns. As a final exercise we compare the forecasting performance of the individual models with those obtained through forecast combination. These results support the individual mod

We argue that a transaction tax is likely to amplify, not dampen, volatility in foreign exchange markets. Our argument stems from the decentralized trading practice and the presumable discrepancy between 'informed' and 'uninformed' traders' valuations. Given that the informed valuations are likely to be less dispersed, a transaction tax penalizes informed trades disproportionately, leading to increased volatility. Empirical support for this prediction is found by investigating the effect of transaction costs on the volatility of DEM/USD and JPY/USD returns. High-frequency data are used and an increase in transaction costs is found to have a significant positive effect on volatility. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

We examine business cycle synchronizations between the euro area and the recently acceded EU and currently negotiating countries. Strong evidence is uncovered of time-variation in the degree of co-movement between the cyclical components of monthly industrial production indicators for each of these countries with a euro area aggregate, which is modelled through a bivariate VAR-GARCH specification with a smoothly time-varying correlation that allows for structural change. Where required to account for the observed time-variation in correlations, a double smooth transition conditional correlation model is used to capture a second structural change event. After allowing for dynamics, we find that all new EU members and negotiating countries have at least doubled their business cycle synchronization with the euro area or changed from negative to positive correlations, since the early 1990s. Furthermore, some have exhibited U-curved or hump-shaped business cycle correlation patterns. The re

Campbell Soup Co. President and Chief executive Douglas Conant received a slight pay cut in fiscal 2009 while his company's profit shrunk amid a deep global recession, according to an analysis by The Associated Press.

JJB sports is planning to tap shareholders for £100 million, less than six months after narrowly avoiding collapse.

TELEVISION production company Matchlight will receive £250,000 over three years from Scottish Enterprise in the latest move to support more home-based programme making.

CONSUMERS face a new year inflation headache after a shock rise in the prices of goods leaving UK factories.

The suit against Ferrellgas, among the largest propane suppliers in Minnesota, says the company's prices are excessive.